A "gray rhino" is a highly probable, high impact yet neglected threat: kin to both the elephant in the room and the improbable and unforeseeable black swan. Gray rhinos are not random surprises, but occur after a series of warnings and visible evidence. The bursting of the housing bubble in 2008, the devastating aftermath of Hurricane Katrina and other natural disasters, the new digital technologies that upended the media world, the fall of the Soviet Union...all were evident well in advance.

Why do leaders and decision makers keep failing to address obvious dangers before they spiral out of control? Drawing on her extensive background in policy formation and crisis management, as well as in-depth interviews with leaders from around the world, Michele Wucker shows in The Gray Rhino how to recognize and strategically counter looming high impact threats. Filled with persuasive stories, real-world examples, and practical advice, The Gray Rhino is essential reading for managers, investors, planners, policy makers, and anyone who wants to understand how to profit by avoiding getting trampled.

In this event, Michele Wucker will draw on her extensive background in policy formation and crisis management, recent work in cognitive science and decision making, and in-depth interviews with leaders from around the world to explain how to recognize and strategically counter high-impact dangers. The questions she raises are provocative, and all the more powerful for being deceptively simple. 

Agenda

8:30 - 9:00    Registration and Networking

9:00 - 9:10    Welcome Remarks by Mr Andreas Odrian, Board Member, European Chamber, Shanghai Chapter

9:10 - 10:00  Discussion with Ms Michele Wucker: How could the "gray rhino" threat impact the Chinese Economy? 

10:00- 10:10  Closing Remarks by Mr Andreas Odrian, Board Member, European Chamber, Shanghai Chapter

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Speakers

Ms. Michele Wucker

Author, The Gray Rhino

Ms. Michele Wucker

Author, The Gray Rhino

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Michele Wucker (www.thegrayrhino.com) is founder of Gray Rhino & Company and author of THE GRAY RHINO: How to Recognize and Act on the Obvious Dangers We Ignore. She also is the author of LOCKOUT: Why America Keeps Getting Immigration Wrong When Prosperity Depends on Getting it Right and WHY THE COCKS FIGHT: Dominicans, Haitians and the Struggle for Hispaniola. She has served as Vice President of Studies at The Chicago Council on Global Affairs; President of the World Policy Institute; and Latin American Bureau Chief at International Financing Review. She has been recognised as a 2009 Young Global Leader of the World Economic Forum, a 2007 Guggenheim Fellow, and a 2008 Media Center Progressive Women Voices alumna, among other honors.
She holds a Master’s degree from Columbia University School of International and Public Affairs and a BA from Rice University. She speaks frequently on the global economy, immigration, leadership, and crisis management. She has been widely interviewed by US and international media including NPR, MSNBC, CNBC, and CNN. She is a mentor-editor for The OpEd Project and a founding member of the Border of Lights arts collective. She also is a member of the Council on Foreign Relations, PEN, and the Authors Guild; an Oxfam America Sisters on the Planet Ambassador; and a member of the global advisory board of Womensphere.

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